2010 Lincoln Clashed Dies
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Originally posted by clairhardesty View Post
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I will accept the opinion of the coin experts for now by ending my arguments but I remain unconvinced that deformities of such magnitude can happen dynamically and that rebound can be so complete. I will be happy to come around for good when someone can describe the physics that allows such occurances. The fact is that our coins do not prove our theories because correlation never proves cause and effect. We are after all being asked to believe that the hardened steel die essentially flatten out while somehow maintaining their patterns, then return to their original depth after leaving cross impressions on each other, doing no damage to the rim area of the field in the process. Again, I will cease my arguments but I remain unconvinced.
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Originally posted by clairhardesty View PostI will accept the opinion of the coin experts for now by ending my arguments but I remain unconvinced that deformities of such magnitude can happen dynamically and that rebound can be so complete. I will be happy to come around for good when someone can describe the physics that allows such occurances. The fact is that our coins do not prove our theories because correlation never proves cause and effect. We are after all being asked to believe that the hardened steel die essentially flatten out while somehow maintaining their patterns, then return to their original depth after leaving cross impressions on each other, doing no damage to the rim area of the field in the process. Again, I will cease my arguments but I remain unconvinced.
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Well, as I said, the coins don't prove the theory, they only suggest it. The fact that we have coins that look like they could have been minted with ful depth clashed dies does not prove that was the mechanism that in fact produced them. Two things that will change my mind on this one are a detailed explanation of the physics that allow such a clask to occur and a look at a die pair that has experienced such a clash. I can imagine other ways for such coins to come to pass but they are more complicated than the extreme die clash (which is actually a very simple theory and therefore an attractive one) so it does not make sense to present them as part of this discussion. If we have a set of coins that are (or at least seem to be) a result of the same die clash that will add weight to the theories. Again though, from a logical perspective, correlation never serves to prove cause and effect. Correlation doesn't even prove connection, it only implies these things. True cause and effect mechanisms need to be explained by solid science and ultimately, observed in operation.
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Originally posted by clairhardesty View PostWell, as I said, the coins don't prove the theory, they only suggest it. The fact that we have coins that look like they could have been minted with ful depth clashed dies does not prove that was the mechanism that in fact produced them. Two things that will change my mind on this one are a detailed explanation of the physics that allow such a clask to occur and a look at a die pair that has experienced such a clash. I can imagine other ways for such coins to come to pass but they are more complicated than the extreme die clash (which is actually a very simple theory and therefore an attractive one) so it does not make sense to present them as part of this discussion. If we have a set of coins that are (or at least seem to be) a result of the same die clash that will add weight to the theories. Again though, from a logical perspective, correlation never serves to prove cause and effect. Correlation doesn't even prove connection, it only implies these things. True cause and effect mechanisms need to be explained by solid science and ultimately, observed in operation.Attached Files
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The two identical coins add significantly to the notion that the die caused the appearance and I concede that it is strong evidence. But from a logical, scientific position, even massive correlation does not prove cause and effect. Stronger correlation is stronger implication but implication never becomes proof. I know that is being picky, but that is the way I choose to be on this issue. I simply won't accept the idea that the die can intrude that far into each other (the effect is on both sides, isn't it?) and then rebound back into nearly their original positions before going on to strike coins until an explanation of the physics involved makes sense to me.
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The areas of the design that show clash marks have very low relief. It doesn't take much plastic deformation for contact to occur with the opposite die. I don't think the dies are rebounding. I think the slight amount of plastic deformation they experience is permanent.Mike Diamond. Error coin writer and researcher.
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